High-Stakes Showdown: Conquering Catastrophic Risks

In this paper, we argue that there are important new methodological problems which arise when assessing global catastrophic risks and we focus on a problem regarding probability estimation. 2021 the work addresses global risks characterized by high stakes and large uncertainties. Hence, it is vitally important to. Some risks have extremely high stakes. For example, a worldwide pandemic or asteroid impact could potentially kill more than a billion people.

2024 researchers describe global catastrophic risks from artificial intelligence, asteroid and comet impacts, climate change, nuclear war, pandemics, and supervolcanoes, including. 2008 we develop this idea formally, explaining how it differs from the related distinctions of model and parameter uncertainty. Using the risk estimates from the large hadron collider. 2009 comfortingly, scientific calculations often put very low probabilities on the occurrence of such catastrophes. In this paper, we argue that there are important new. Toby ord, rafaela hillerbrand, anders sandberg, probing the improbable: Methodological challenges for risks with low probabilities and high stakes, arxiv:0810. 5515v1 [physics. soc. 2024 the risk assessments developed by the rand team examine how policymakers and stakeholders can (1) understand catastrophic risks by identifying how a hazard or threat leads to such risk, estimating the likelihood and potential consequences of each risk, and. 2024 global catastrophic risks represent threats with the potential to harm or permanently set back human civilization on a global scale.